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Coronavirus Cases Surging Worldwide (Again)

Among our values at Outlier, most important are the people we have in our lives, as we are parents and contributing members of the public like you. In addition to taking actions in our local community during the Coronavirus pandemic, we realize that the Outlier platform can bring you daily insights to understand the impact of the epidemic.

In today’s stories, analyzed with automated business analysis, we are reporting more findings based upon data shared by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU).

Here’s what we found out recently:

Countries Driving Cases

Trend story worldwide
Trend story worldwide

Cases are up 22% worldwide and are driven by India, US, Belgium, Germany and Colombia.

Trend story for Austria
Trend story for Austria

Austria is seeing a trend in the number of newly confirmed cases increase. Since August, their numbers have been increasing, but the recent trend started on October 3rd, and now the country is 19% above expected.

Trend story for Germany
Trend story for Germany

Neighboring Austria is Germany, who is also seeing the number of newly confirmed cases increase. Most recently an increasing trend started on September 30th and is currently 47% above model.

Record High for France
Record High for France

On a week-over-week basis, France’s second surge is showing up graphically. Last week, the country confirmed over 143,000 cases and is 44% above expected. France also has 6% of the world’s newly confirmed cases.

Spike story for Italy
Spike story for Italy

Next to Germany and France, Italy is also seeing a surge in the number of newly confirmed cases as well. Last week, the country’s week-over-week numbers showed an increase in the number of newly confirmed cases at over 74% more than expected. The country now accounts for 2% of the cases confirmed worldwide.

Benchmark story for Russia
Benchmark story for Russia

Two weeks ago, we announced a new story type that is already showing up in the JHU feed, called a Benchmark story. In this Outlier story, you can see that week-over-week Russia’s newly confirmed case number is trending 62% above the benchmark. The country now accounts for 2% of the world’s newly confirmed cases.

Benchmark story for Canada
Benchmark story for Canada

Canada sees a similar increase in confirmed cases as the country is currently 11% over the benchmark for newly confirmed cases.

Back in the States

Trend story for New Jersey
Trend story for New Jersey

New Jersey saw an upward trend in newly confirmed cases develop on September 25th. Currently, the number of newly confirmed cases is 23% over expected. Now, the Garden State accounts for 3% of the newly confirmed in the US.

Root Cause Analysis for New Jersey
Root Cause Analysis for New Jersey

This increase is being driven by Hudson, Essex and Morris counties.

Benchmark story for North Carolina
Benchmark story for North Carolina

In a week-over-week story, we see an increase in the number of cases in North Carolina. The state is now 134% higher than expected for the number of newly confirmed cases and accounts for 4% of the new cases confirmed in the US.

In Good News

Trend story for Israel
Trend story for Israel

Since October 8, Israel has seen a decline in the number of newly infected people with the Coronavirus. This is a great news as many parts of the world are currently seeing surges in newly confirmed cases. The country is currently 77% below expected. 

We will continue to share these insights here, and you can sign up to be notified of unexpected findings related to Coronavirus in a newsletter. This is not a marketing newsletter and your email will only be used to share these insights.

Stay safe and informed out there!

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