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Coronavirus Making Waves Across the Globe

Among our values at Outlier, most important are the people we have in our lives, as we are parents and contributing members of the public like you. In addition to taking actions in our local community during the Coronavirus pandemic, we realize that the Outlier platform can bring you daily insights to understand the impact of the epidemic.

In today’s stories, analyzed with automated business analysis, we are reporting more findings based upon data shared by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU).

Here’s what we found out recently:

Going Up or Holding Steady

New confirmed cases globally
New confirmed cases globally

New confirmed cases have met a record high for one day. In one day over 103,000 people have been confirmed to be infected with the Coronavirus globally.

Root Cause Analysis for Countries
Root Cause Analysis for Countries

Brazil saw one of the largest spikes, increasing to more than 26,000 new cases reported yesterday as some areas of the country are easing restrictions. France, Germany and Spain also saw renewed but much smaller spikes, in the low thousands. The US meanwhile is holding steady at around 23,000 new cases per day.

Some States are Rising

New confirmed cases for Alabama
New confirmed cases for Alabama

Alabama continues to spike as the state reopens. Their new normal is 9% higher than expected, and they are responsible for 2% of all cases nationally.

New confirmed cases for Alabama Counties
New confirmed cases for Alabama Counties

Montgomery and Tuscaloosa counties are contributing the most to this increase.

New confirmed cases for Texas
New confirmed cases for Texas

The vast state of Texas reported 8% of the newly confirmed Coronavirus cases yesterday and is over 8% higher than previous trends. Yesterday marks the largest amount of confirmed cases in one day for the Lone Star State at over 1,800 cases. The state is reopening today.

Root Cause Analysis for Texas
Root Cause Analysis for Texas

Jones and Walker counties are driving the majority of the new case counts in Texas.

Countries and States On the Downward Trend

New confirmed cases for Bulgaria
New confirmed cases for Bulgaria

Bulgaria’s new case count seems to be on the downward slope Their new trendline is 26% below expected. The country is ending its quarantine of travel from the EU.

New confirmed cases for Kansas
New confirmed cases for Kansas

Kansas is also on the downward slope of new cases, 16% below what we would have expected based on the previously flattening curve, and accounting for only 0.3% of new cases in the US.

Root Cause Analysis for Kansas
Root Cause Analysis for Kansas

It appears the drop is mostly from counties in the Southeast portion of the state, including Finney, Ford and Seward counties.

New confirmed cases for Illinois
New confirmed cases for Illinois

While Illinois accounts for 7% of new cases across the country, they are also showing a downward trend of new cases daily, 22% lower than where we would have expected based on the previous rate of growth. Phase 3 reopening starts today.

Root Cause Analysis for Illinois
Root Cause Analysis for Illinois

Much of the reduction seems to come from Cook county, as the jail where cases had spike seems to be getting infections under control.  

We will continue to share these insights here, and you can sign up to be notified of unexpected findings related to Coronavirus in a newsletter. This is not a marketing newsletter and your email will only be used to share these insights.

Stay safe and informed out there!

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