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New Confirmed Coronavirus Cases Increasing Across Africa

Among our values at Outlier, most important are the people we have in our lives, as we are parents and contributing members of the public like you. In addition to taking actions in our local community during the Coronavirus pandemic, we realize that the Outlier platform can bring you daily insights to understand the impact of the epidemic.

In today’s stories, analyzed with automated business analysis, we are reporting more findings based upon data shared by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU).

Here’s what we found out recently:

Increased Cases in Africa

New confirmed cases in South Africa
New confirmed cases in South Africa

Starting in the South where the biggest increase was seen since yesterday, South Africa saw its second-highest day of new infections – 39% over where we would have expected even based on the previous upward trend, and accounting now for 1% of new cases globally.

New confirmed cases in Cameroon
New confirmed cases in Cameroon

Moving to Central Africa, Cameroon cases have seen a continuous upward trend day over day, and are now more than 200% above what would have been expected based on a previous relatively flat number of new daily cases.

New confirmed cases for Kenya
New confirmed cases for Kenya

Still in Central Africa, Kenya’s case count is increasing exponentially, now double what would have been expected based on even the previous upward trend.

New confirmed cases for Egypt
New confirmed cases for Egypt

Finishing in the Northern part of Africa is Egypt’s story. While the number of new cases per day in Egypt had already been increasing, that rate is now sped up, with Egypt entering into a sustained upward trend of new daily cases 34% higher than even the previous rate of increase. They account for 0.7% of newly reported infections globally.

Mixed Reporting in the Eastern US States

New confirmed cases for Louisiana
New confirmed cases for Louisiana

Back to the States, Louisiana climbed from ranking 28th in the country for the number of newly confirmed cases, to 8th place, as cases there spiked, while new daily cases in other states fall.

Rank story for Louisiana
Rank story for Louisiana

Other states like Virginia, Maryland and Florida are also new entrants to the top 10, while Georgia and New Jersey have fallen out of the top 10.

New confirmed cases for Virginia
New confirmed cases for Virginia

After what seemed to be a downward trend, Fairfax County Virginia has had a sudden spike in the number of newly confirmed cases – its highest day ever, and 14% higher than expected. This one county now accounts for 2% of the newly confirmed cases in the US.

New confirmed cases for Arkansas
New confirmed cases for Arkansas

Arkansas also sees an increase in the number of newly confirmed cases. The Razorback state accounted for 2% of the newly confirmed cases yesterday and is over 140% higher than expected based on their previous relatively flat curve. 

 

Root Cause Analysis for Arkansas
Root Cause Analysis for Arkansas

This increase is mostly due to activity in St. Francis County, which is contributing to 58%. The Governor equated the spike to an increase in testing at the federal prison in Forrest City.

Good News in Delaware

New confirmed cases for Delaware
New confirmed cases for Delaware

Sussex County in Delaware is now on its third day of lower-than-expected new case count, 8% below where we would have expected had the previous trend held solid.

We will continue to share these insights here, and you can sign up to be notified of unexpected findings related to Coronavirus in a newsletter. This is not a marketing newsletter and your email will only be used to share these insights.

Stay safe and informed out there!

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