Weekly Direction for Countries and Counties

Among our values at Outlier, most important are the people we have in our lives, as we are parents and contributing members of the public like you. In addition to taking actions in our local community during the Coronavirus pandemic, we realize that the Outlier platform can bring you daily insights to understand the impact of the epidemic.

In today’s stories, analyzed with automated business analysis, we are reporting more findings based upon data shared by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU).

Here’s what we found out recently:

The Coronavirus has been impacting the world for months. Outlier had been analyzing the JHU data for a few months now. Previously, we’d only shared day-over-day changes with you. Now, we’ve been seeing meaningful insights at the weekly level too.

Our first weekly trend shows Orange County seeing a sustained increase in the number of new cases, but still accounts for only 0.5% of the total cases in the US. The number of new cases in Orange County this week is  7% higher than we would have expected if even previous upward trends had continued.

Russia meanwhile is seeing an exponential increase in new cases — last weeks’ case counts were 18% over where we would have expected based even on previously increased rates. Globally, Russia accounts for 12% of the confirmed cases.

While Spain accounts for 1% of the new cases globally, the country has seen a strong week over week drop in new cases — 36% below where it would have been had previous trends continued, for cases confirmed.

France’s new case count continues to decrease on a weekly basis and is now 54% below where we would have expected had the previous trend continued.

Meanwhile, Massachusetts is showing a week-over-week decrease in new cases and is 16% below expected. The state accounts for 5% of the newly confirmed cases in the US and is detailing plans to re-open.

Suffolk and Middlesex counties are contributing the most to this decline. 

Even Higher Infection Rate Hitting Chile

Chile’s case count is on the rise and accounts for 3% of global cases confirmed yesterday. We reported an initial new upward trend starting at the end of April, and now two weeks later they’re seeing an even higher sustained trend. The daily new case count seems to be settling in at a new normal, 79% above even the previous spike, as the country implements lock-down measures.

Declines in Cases Confirmed

Meanwhile, Camden County in New Jersey seems to have not just evened out, but at 36% below expected, to be consistently decreasing its daily new case count.

Despite having opened up a few weeks back, Georgia is still seeing a lower number of cases confirmed daily. The Peach State has decreased over 17% more than expected and accounted for 2% of the cases confirmed yesterday.

Neighboring counties, Gwinnett and DeKalb, are both contributing the most to this decline. 

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Stay safe and informed out there!