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New Confirmed Coronavirus Cases Out of Africa

Among our values at Outlier, most important are the people we have in our lives, as we are parents and contributing members of the public like you. In addition to taking actions in our local community during the Coronavirus pandemic, we realize that the Outlier platform can bring you daily insights to understand the impact of the epidemic.

In today’s stories, analyzed with automated business analysis, we are reporting more findings based upon data shared by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU).

Here’s what we found out about yesterday:

New confirmed cases in Senegal
New confirmed cases in Senegal

Senegal is showing an exponential upward trend in new cases, where the rate of increase is speeding up and has created a new normal range. Yesterday’s number of new cases was 25% higher than we would have expected had the previous rate of increase held steady.

New confirmed cases for CAR
New confirmed cases for CAR

New confirmed cases are up drastically for the Central African Republic (CAR). Last week, experts warned that the Coronavirus could tear through the region at ‘lightning speed’ if not addressed with support.

New confirmed cases for Nigeria
New confirmed cases for Nigeria

Nigeria is trending up too: 177% more than expected even as the President is lowering restrictions in some cities, citing economic hardship, and imposing restrictions on others.

New confirmed cases for Minnesota
New confirmed cases for Minnesota

Back Stateside, reported cases in Minnesota are trending up, 67% above expected and accounting for 1% of new cases. “While the coronavirus is clearly spreading, the rising count is due to increased testing that is identifying more previously unknown cases and finding a high prevalence of cases in nursing homes and meatpacking plants with known outbreaks,” said Kris Ehresmann, state infectious disease director, as reported.

Root Cause Analysis for Minnesota
Root Cause Analysis for Minnesota

The counties contributing to this increase the most are the highly populated county of Hennepin and Stearns county.

New confirmed cases for New York
New confirmed cases for New York

Great news out of New York. The state had a brief spike, but is seeing a decrease again in the number of confirmed cases. The Empire State is 4% below expected and accounts for 12% of the total cases yesterday.

Root Cause Analysis for New York
Root Cause Analysis for New York

The main counties contributing to this decrease are New York and Nassau.

New confirmed cases for Netherlands
New confirmed cases for Netherlands

More good news! The Netherlands has not only flattened the curve but seems to be on the other side of the downward curve. New cases are 80% below where we would have expected even had the curve flattened.

We will continue to share these insights here, and you can sign up to be notified of unexpected findings related to Coronavirus in a newsletter. This is not a marketing newsletter and your email will only be used to share these insights.

Stay safe and informed out there!

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